30D Shutter Death?

[Badgerballs]

I read somewhere that the expected life of a shutter on a 30D is 10,000 releases. Did I read a load of KAK or is this the case. Cos if it is I have a super shutter. I do on average 1000 pics a week, so I find this very hard to see. If this hopefully is not the case, has anyone got a rough idea of what the expected life is, and when it does expire the cost of repairing.

[harrydog]

I believe it's 100,000, not 10,000.

[cdifoto]

it's 100,000 MTF...mean time between failures. Not 10,000 and it's not like it will fail EXACTLY at 100,000. It's an estimate. Your shutter may fail at image 3, or it may never fail on you.

Lots of threads on this already...

[SimonG]

Of course, if I remember my statistics course correctly, MTBF is a characteristic of a population of "things", and because of this it's not particularly useful in predicting failure when we are talking about a single item. Also, it's quite possible for the MTBF to be much higher than the actual expected life of an item (as an example, the MTBF of a 30 something male in the U.S. is approximately 900 person-years per death!).

My advice based on this would be to shoot pictures until your shutter fails without worrying too much about when it's going to happen. In most cases, this failure will occur long after you have moved onto the next greatest offering from Canon. In any case, a shutter replacement isn't too costly, particularly when you think about how many photos you can take with one. ;)