SoccerRef
15th of January 2009 (Thu), 12:45
Over in the "Post the most ridiculous comments you've received with a big lens on!" thread PiRho commented on the comforting sound of the mirror clacking. I responded, and then there were then several responses, so I figured I would just start a new thread here and quote the responses rather than continuing to hijack another thread.
Starting with My post...
Don't get too attached to that sound... As does the micro-four thirds standard, Canon may soon do away with the mirror box. Look at the 5D MkII. Canon kept the mirror box, but that mirror locks up when shooting in movie mode. Canon already has "Live view". It will be much easier to do "Live View" without the mirror. How long do you think it will be before they just do away with the mirror altogether? Fewer moving parts = fewer breakdowns = happier customers.
I think they will put a small monitor inside the viewfinder as most professional photographers will find using a monitor on the back of the camera unacceptable, but they don't HAVE to have a mirror to do that. Not anymore!
My prediction: Within 3 years Canon will announce an interchangable lens body with no mirror box. It will be on their Entry Level Rebel series and it's size will be a huge marketing factor. The technology will work it's way into the remainder of the line within five years of it's initial announcement.
If micro four-thirds takes off (i.e. it's adopted by Sony and Nikon - Olympus is already flirting with it), Canon would be foolish not to adopt it. But that's a subject for another thread...
Sounds like it could be cool, if it is a QUEXGA+++++ screen to give the same resolution as the eye can resolve :p
If it was that good, then you would need to figure out a way to get light to the AF sensor to let it do it's job, then it would be awesome :D
yeah they just need to work out how to stop the sensor from overheating and producing noise, and its all sorted ;)
I want my optical viewfinder!!! :mad: :cry:
No way. Looks how slow focus is with live view. A LCD in the viewfinder would be the same way. Won't work with sports or anywhere you need fast focus, which is why many people go from P&S to DSLR to start with. The mirror is here to stay, IMO.
Keep in mind in the tech industry three years is quite a long time, they could have developed some crazy new tech that makes it way faster with LV, or something which negates the need to use the sensor to focus (dunno how that would happen but they might figure it out) Imagine shooting sports with 24fps and no shutter blackout, pretty much super duper High def video, so in the future, if that does happen, and they work out crazy super AF, then video cameras and DSLRs will merge IMO... (starting to happen, but not really near there yet)
Personally I don't think three years ,but do think it is near certain within 20 years....
My comments were directed at the 3 year time frame. I would be doubtful that it happens at all because nothing will be as fast as light. No matter how fast the electronics get, the processing time will always be slower than the speed of light bouncing off the mirror into the viewfinder, but it may get close enough to be negligible. Maybe.
The micro 4/3rd's system is a neat one, but a gimmick at that. Good for high quality images in a compact body for those every day pics, but that's a niche market for regular consumers. It's basically a compact p&s with interchangeable lens, I don't see many grannies wanting to switch lens in the middle of taking their medicine pills.
I highly doubt in 3 years that any manufacturer will come up with a SLR solution without an actual SLR mechanics for pro level use. The only thing that will potentially kill the SLR market on the pro side are Red camera's. I've yet to see the image quality of a still frame from video, but those are basically 35mm video camera's using red ring glass.
So, What are your thoughts?
Starting with My post...
Don't get too attached to that sound... As does the micro-four thirds standard, Canon may soon do away with the mirror box. Look at the 5D MkII. Canon kept the mirror box, but that mirror locks up when shooting in movie mode. Canon already has "Live view". It will be much easier to do "Live View" without the mirror. How long do you think it will be before they just do away with the mirror altogether? Fewer moving parts = fewer breakdowns = happier customers.
I think they will put a small monitor inside the viewfinder as most professional photographers will find using a monitor on the back of the camera unacceptable, but they don't HAVE to have a mirror to do that. Not anymore!
My prediction: Within 3 years Canon will announce an interchangable lens body with no mirror box. It will be on their Entry Level Rebel series and it's size will be a huge marketing factor. The technology will work it's way into the remainder of the line within five years of it's initial announcement.
If micro four-thirds takes off (i.e. it's adopted by Sony and Nikon - Olympus is already flirting with it), Canon would be foolish not to adopt it. But that's a subject for another thread...
Sounds like it could be cool, if it is a QUEXGA+++++ screen to give the same resolution as the eye can resolve :p
If it was that good, then you would need to figure out a way to get light to the AF sensor to let it do it's job, then it would be awesome :D
yeah they just need to work out how to stop the sensor from overheating and producing noise, and its all sorted ;)
I want my optical viewfinder!!! :mad: :cry:
No way. Looks how slow focus is with live view. A LCD in the viewfinder would be the same way. Won't work with sports or anywhere you need fast focus, which is why many people go from P&S to DSLR to start with. The mirror is here to stay, IMO.
Keep in mind in the tech industry three years is quite a long time, they could have developed some crazy new tech that makes it way faster with LV, or something which negates the need to use the sensor to focus (dunno how that would happen but they might figure it out) Imagine shooting sports with 24fps and no shutter blackout, pretty much super duper High def video, so in the future, if that does happen, and they work out crazy super AF, then video cameras and DSLRs will merge IMO... (starting to happen, but not really near there yet)
Personally I don't think three years ,but do think it is near certain within 20 years....
My comments were directed at the 3 year time frame. I would be doubtful that it happens at all because nothing will be as fast as light. No matter how fast the electronics get, the processing time will always be slower than the speed of light bouncing off the mirror into the viewfinder, but it may get close enough to be negligible. Maybe.
The micro 4/3rd's system is a neat one, but a gimmick at that. Good for high quality images in a compact body for those every day pics, but that's a niche market for regular consumers. It's basically a compact p&s with interchangeable lens, I don't see many grannies wanting to switch lens in the middle of taking their medicine pills.
I highly doubt in 3 years that any manufacturer will come up with a SLR solution without an actual SLR mechanics for pro level use. The only thing that will potentially kill the SLR market on the pro side are Red camera's. I've yet to see the image quality of a still frame from video, but those are basically 35mm video camera's using red ring glass.
So, What are your thoughts?