waterrockets wrote in post #17020744
I just went and looked at 5D2 prices in POTN classifieds. One month before 5D3 was released, the 5D2 was selling for $1900. One month after it was released, it was selling for $1700.
So that's about a 10% drop. Buy a 6D now for $1500, and in September, there is maybe an announcement, which maybe is for a camera that will depreciate your camera another $150, that might be released in November.
So, for somewhere between $0 and $150, OP could be shooting a 6D for the next 5 months, then sell it and buy something else. How does $0-$30/month not make sense for the use of a 6D?
I've had my 1D3 for two years now, and it's depreciated about $200. That's $8/month. For a 1D. Used cameras are a great deal, right now, not just maybe in November.
gjl711 wrote in post #17020753
That's assuming that the release will just be an incremental one. Though the 5DIII was better in nearly all catagories, it's IQ for the most part was not so a lot of us who had 5DII decided not to upgrade.
If the rumored new sensor does come out and if it can live up to the hype surpassing the Exmore or at least matching it, it might be a different story. If the new 7DII can match the 5DIII or 6D in IQ I suspect that there will be a lot of 7D owners selling their cameras. If the 7DII is a 70D with slight improvement feature wise, then not so much so. But with a release so close, unless you really need it waiting to see where things go might be prudent. Come September and no announcement all you've lost is time.
However if the camera is a huge improvement, then the price will reflect that as well, tempering the move of existing customers over.
Given our history on the boards, the absolute best time to pick up an older camera at bottom prices is immediately after the official announcement of a successor. People have a tendency to immediately dump their old cameras and the competition to do so is fierce after a release notice. The prices stabilize and sometimes go back up a bit after the camera hits the shelves, simply due to price deltas, reviews of the product vs marketing hype, issues (the 1D3, 70D, 5D2, T4i, 1Dx, and 5D3 all have had some sort of issue that caused concern amongst the customer base, recalls etc.), and other factors.
If you were in the market for a 7D or 70D, the best time to buy a used one would be on the day of, or a few days after, the formal announcement by Canon of the 7D2. Those prices will be some of the lowest one would see for months after the announcement was made.