Tom Reichner wrote in post #18340891
That is a good point for the "is Canon doomed" discussion.
I have never - not even once in my life - seen someone using a Sony mirrorless while afield. Yet I have seen hundreds of folks using Canon DSLRs and dozens of folks using Nikon DSLRs.
In fact, the only time I have even seen a Sony mirrorless camera is at my photography club meetings, where a member brings his with him to the meetings. Every other member has a DSLR..
Complacency is what will doom Canon (if they let it) ... not the A9.
I have made the argument before that what Sony has got on its side ... big time ... right now is its apparent commitment to continuing technical innovation and development. Anyone starting out in the ILC market today would, if they were sensible, make an assessment of where they would most likely want to be five or ten years down the line, given the way it seems that cameras and lenses are evolving. In their position, my assessment (unless Canikon get moving pretty soon and make their own statements in the marketplace) would be that Sony will be King of the Hill in higher end cameras ten years from now. If I'm going to seriously want to be a Sony shooter ten years from now, then that's the system to start building today. That will involve making a few compromises like using non-native longer lenses and generally fussing with far too many adapters and bits for a while ... but, on balance, it would seem a good decision. And, emotionally, I'd like to 'support' the side that seems more keen on and more committed to winning.
In the longer term: Sony or third-party manufacturers are going to fill the gaps in the native lens range (actually, perhaps quite quickly if firms like Sigma and Tamron see Sony bodies building market share); issues like the current bodies being too small to handle, especially with big lenses, are going to be addressed and better options offered. If you are looking forwards and are not too heavily invested, just now Sony look to be the system to buy into.
Canon can disrupt this very effectively ... if they choose to (for Nikon, it could be harder). To do so Canon needs to get out a quality FF mirrorless body based around a minor variation of the EF mount that will accept EF lenses. And they need to do it quite quickly and make sure the market knows that it is on the way even more quickly. The minor modification on the AF mount will be to allow FF mirrorless bodies to take advantage of the scope to recess wider angle lenses into the body when there isn't a mirror in the way. That way they will be able to deliver smaller body/lens combinations below 40mm FL or thereabouts and to offer a travel/street/landscape option that is similar in overall size to what Sony is able to deliver. As with EF-S the only modification to the 'EF-M' mount will be one to prevent EF-M lenses from being mounted destructively on DSLRs.
IMHO it doesn't matter if the early offering isn't quite up to Sony standards and it might be quite a good idea to start with something that is not being promoted as 'top of the range'. 6D market position could be ideal. What is important is that Canon makes a material statement of intent (i.e. produces a FF mirrorless ILC) and does not delay in doing so. Otherwise, it will miss the tide. If it fails, it probably will not be doomed but it will be seriously damaged.
Comment and (constructive) criticism always welcome.