mystik610 wrote in post #17777188
Thinking out loud here......but I think the odds of Sony releasing a compact, and more affordable FF mirror less next year is pretty high.
Based on the historical pace of updates, the a7II is due for an update sometime next year. I say by Spring of next year to launch a new body alongside the 8 new FE lenses we're supposed to be getting. My gut is saying that the a7II goes the direction of the a7rII and a7sII, and moves up-market in terms of price and features. The a7sII pushed itself further into the video niche, so there's room for the a7sIII to be the low light still shooter with a BSI sensor (more than 24mp, but less than 42mp)? or perhaps put a new AF system into it, bump the FPS, and make it a FF sports shooter? Or maybe a combination of both. Either way, I don't see the a7III moving down-market.
If the a7III does move up-market, there will be a gaping hole in the compact, budget friendly FF realm that the a7 once occupied....which is why I'm thinking we'll see an a6 next year. The pop-up EVF in the rx1rII is rather telling. If you're a manufacturer like sony, who makes most of the components within the camera in-house, you'd want to leverage economies of scale to put components in as many different product lines as possible. My bet is that we see an a6 with the existing 24mp sensor, 179 point AF system, and pop-up EVF No IBIS to keep cost and size down. Price right at $2k +/- a couple thousand bucks. I'm also betting we see more compact, and affordable FE primes. 50 or 40 f2 pancake?
Interesting idea about a up market of he a7iii and an introduction of something else. What I see happening myself is the much rumored, entry level camera, the a5 of sorts. Very basic FF system, again recycling the old a7 sensor. Basic AF like the 25 point CDAF, no PDAF, no IBIS, basic 1080p video. No EVF, styled kind of like the old NEX5 cameras. Maybe give it the same 180 degree flip screen, possibly even touch. Priced at an entry level price, possibly breaking the magic number at $999. Basically make it like the 2013 a7, just in a different form factor to save money. That way consumers can go cheap and buy the a5 or have to step up to a a7 series st say $1,500-1,800 price point for an entry a7 or a $2,500+ higher end.