I went back to CIPA figures
- 2018 Non-Reflex camera production: 4,257,239
- 2017 Non-Reflex camera production: 4,117,822
- 2016 Non-Reflex camera production: 3,137,719
- 2015 Non-Reflex camera production: 3,252,995
- 2014 Non-Reflex camera production: 3,166,481
- 2013 Non-Reflex camera production: 3,182,694
- 2012 Non-Reflex camera production: 4,228,735
Compared to the 2012 peak, mirrorless volumes had hardly grown by 2018...and volumes are projected to be down in 2019.
So far, in 2019 (Jan-May), volumes of interchageable lens digital cameras is down about 27%
Mirrorless sales volume peaked in terms of sales volume, but again, sales volume is not the correct metric to measure when your strategy has shifted to selling high margin products at lower volumes.
The market is shifting away from focusing on selling high volumes $600 EOS M type cameras, to lower volumes of $2K+ a7 and EOS R type camears.
So we'd want to look through the appropriate lens (pardon the pun) to get an understanding of whether or not this strategy is successful, and as such, whether a camera like the a7rIV is a viable product to bring to market.
Since Sony has been taking this strategy on for a while, we can look to their performance to see if this has been working or not....
From 2016 to 2017, Sony's sales grew by 76 billion yen and operating margins grew by 28 billion. 2018 forecast was basically expecting to be flat in terms of sales and operating income
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For 2018 actuals, they beat both their sales and operating income forecasts by 10 billion yen
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