Croasdail, I almost completely agree with you, but let's not lose track of facts however minor while making a point.
Croasdail wrote in post #4188570
I was talking with a pro shooter last weekend about this very same issue. He was trading in his whole Canon kit to go Nikon in November - he picks up his new D3s November 23rd - and challenged him on lens price difference. His comeback was basically even if the Nikon stuff is 15-20% more expensive, if as a pro that is what it takes to have the best tools available, no worries - it's a done deal. I was specifically talking to him about his 600/f4. I was hoping to nab it when he traded in. He basically said that if the price difference of $6999 for the canon vs up to $7999 for the Nikon made a huge difference to you, you needed to go back to the shallow end of the pool. You spend what you need to spend to get then best end product. If he can shoot at ISO 6400 or higher and get the same or better results then Canon at 3200... no issues. He also said the $3000 price difference between the Canon and the Nikon would more then make up for the lens price difference.
Absolutely. For many working pros the price difference won't matter a lick. It's not like Nikon is twice as expensive. But well-to-do amateurs are contributing an increasingly larger portion of the high-end market, and many of them care more about price despite being able to afford both, and I imagine quite a few pros are self-sustaining and more price-conscious than your friend, and would draw the price-performance ratio line somewhere different than he does.
And the $3000 price difference he referred to, I assume he means between the D3 and 1Ds Mark III? If so, then he's comparing the wrong 2 cameras. The D3 is closest in specs and price to the 1D Mark III, which is $500 cheaper than the D3.
I do think Canon got fat dumb and complacent - at our expense. They had a business model where they were going to slowly milk us for small improvements... small hops like the 20/30/40d, hoping the same crowd will do the same upgrade to the 50d in 12 months. I don't think Canon has any great things they are holding back. They played their trump card - the 1Ds MkIII, and it didn't rock the world. And they increased the price by $1000. Nikon has held their prices with each generation. Canon is slowly introducing price creep into the mix. As someone who has shot Canon since 1986, I am feeling a little used and let down. I am not a brand loyalist.... don't really care it its a ford, chevy, or dodge. I just want value. It that is Canon or Nikon (or even Sony\Minolta), so be it.
Agreed, except that there's no price creep in the 1Ds Mark III. The 1Ds Mark II was $8000 at introduction, as will the 1Ds Mark III be. The 1D Mark III did creep up higher than its predecessor at launch, but the 40D is lower than its predecessor.
Canon's milking strategy backfired with the 30D that didn't exactly light up the market, and the 40D although a good camera doesn't really offer anything that we haven't already seen from the other manufacturers (and even trails in some areas). The 1D Mark III was a market leader that superficially looked a lot like its predecessor but contained a lot of redesigned elements that made it a significant improvement over the Mark II, but with the D3 coming out its reign was short lived if the early D3 samples are to be believed and if the D3 doesn't turn out to have any major issues like the 1D Mark III does. The 1Ds Mark III is still without competition, but that could soon change with a lot of noise coming from the Nikon camp that Nikon will have a high-res fullframe coming out soon--a D3x if you will.
I'd be surprised if Canon aren't finally fully awake to the current market climate, that they have genuine competitors in terms of image quality (which used to be their trump card) and are lagging behind in terms of features. If not, then they truly suffer from the IBM syndrome--big, lumbering, immobile company that is slow to change. But I feel it's too late for them to do anything about it in the short term. The rumored 5DII will almost certainly be a 40D with a fullframe sensor and lower framerate, which means that once again its feature set as a $2000-$3000 camera will look really weak compared to the $1800 Nikon D300 that, albeit not fullframe, has pro AF, 100% viewfinder, and weather sealing. It will be embarrassing to put its features side-by-side with the D300 if Canon debut it in the high $2k to low $3k range (only the fullframe zealots would consider it a good bargain at that price), but it could still be reasonably successful in the low to mid $2k range.
Oh snap.... did you see that the sony menus rotate when the camera is rotated.... dang. Someone was thinking.
Lots of innovation shown by the other companies in terms of usability. I think Canon clearly trails in this area. The little nubby joystick is probably their biggest UI innovation, but even it is poorly implemented as you can't use it if you're holding the camera's vertical grip without taking your hand off the grip due to its placement.
Canon's got too much momentum built up from existing lens and system sales to really fall way down the pecking order, but I hope they look at their slumping market share and realize where it all went wrong and attack the market with a new approach that starts with a commitment to maximum quality for the price instead of crippling features to save a buck. In my world, that would ideally start with a fullframe camera with some of the major pro features--pro AF, 100% viewfinder, weather sealing (a nice bonus)--in a smaller form factor than the 1-series, and a reasonable price. Basically a 5D with the 3 pro features I mentioned. In other words, not any time soon.