pcasciola wrote:
I think storage technology is advancing way faster than digital camera technology, so storage will never be an issue for still pictures.
I have over 1TB on my home machine now, and that's only about $600 in hard drives nowadays. That's enough for over 100,000 20D Raw files. Even if we get to 100 Megapixels tomorrow, we'd be able to store about 10,000 RAW (or 50,000 JPEGs) on $600 in hard drives. At ~40MB/sec read rate, even a 22 MP image would only take a fraction of a second to read in, too.
I agree with you. You can put together a 1 terabyte hard drive array on your personal computer for $400 at the current prices (11/2/2004). That price will be cut in half every year (or every six months, more like it) going forward pretty much.
I think the MP race will slow down when we start approaching 35mm film (for full frame sensors) in information capacity. I read somewhere that would be about 30-35MP. After that, the best 35mm lenses cannot resolve any more. Then they'll start layering on the megapixels for each color like the Foveon sensors, so we'll have 100MP sensors, but with 33 MP of constituent colors...or something like that. 8)
You have about as much luck stopping the MP race as you have stopping the GHz (gigahertz) race in computers. A 3 GHz machine is not always faster than a 2 Ghz or even a really decked out 1.7 GHz machine. It is based on so many other factors...including processor pipelines, cache, bus design, memory speed, etc. , etc. But do expect to see 4 GHz computers next year and 5GHz by Christmas next year...and so on and so forth.
Where will the madness end? 