S2K.OGRAPHY wrote in post #10371025
that gusher wont be under control until august and the relief wells arent even a sure thing. you sound like one of the sheep that will believe what obama said about how they are collecting 90% of the leak

No, I'm a longtime Florida resident (I first moved there in '74, although I'm not there now) who has some familiarity with the currents and prevailing winds there. All of this panic about things that may never happen is not helping Florida in the least. My buddy in Suwannee (one of many places I've lived there) has already lost almost all of his bookings (he rents houseboats there) and not a drop of oil has hit that area. Anyhow, going back to the OP's question, he is much more likely to see oil-soaked beaches in Louisiana than in Florida.
Speaking of the spill, I agree that the relief wells are not a sure thing, especially during August. The best suggestion I've heard was to drill another, shallower well near the gusher and detonate a bomb in it, collapsing the other well. This approach has been done several times in Russia successfully. Much easier than intersecting the first well with a new one, but of course they won't get any oil that way...